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Kufuor Predicts Nana Addo’s Defeat

Former President John Agyekum Kufuor’s prediction that NPP will win in five out of the ten regions should be a major source of worry for the NPP. What even makes his predictions more injurious to the NPP is that he went ahead to list the regions the party will win majority votes.

For the benefit of those who did not listen to him, the former President boisterously said NPP will garner majority votes in Greater Accra, Ashanti, Eastern, Brong Ahafo and Central regions. Impliedly, what Mr Kufuor said of the remaining five regions was that NPP will improve on its records.

This prediction must not amuse any true NPP member desirous of a Nana Akufo Addo government after Wednesday’s election. The former President’s statement is a clear indication that NPP under the aegis of Nana Addo is heading towards another excruciating defeat.

In the wisdom of Mr Kufuor, Nana Akufo Addo will not win the Western region. I can understand why Mr Kufuor made this honest admission. Mr Kufuor is a statesman. Unlike Nana Akufo Addo, he has seen the level of developments, especially in the energy sector, in that part of the country.

It will be naive on his part to include Western region in the list of regions Akufo Addo may win in this year’s election. Though Mr Kufuor did not give reason(s) why he thinks Nana Addo will win the five reasons he named, it is obvious the former President may have been awestruck by the gas infrastructure and other laudable and live changing projects the Mahama-led NDC government have undertaken in the Western region.

If this is the reason why Mr Kufuor thinks Nana Addo will not win the Western region, then I am afraid he will not win the Central, Greater Accra and Brong Ahafo either. Regional executives of the NPP themselves know that, giving the “special attention” Mahama has given to the Central which has resulted in unprecedented infrastructural development, that region, at least for this year’s election, is no longer part of the swing regions.

Indeed, if you interact with strategists of the NPP, they are clear in their minds that Central region is not for them. The regions they have targeted is Greater Accra, Brong Ahafo and Western.

But Mr Kufuor has openly confessed that Nana Akufo Addo cannot win Western region. And if he cannot win Central then obviously he cannot win Central per his (Nana’s) own covert political strategy.

If that is the case, then the NPP is left with Ashanti, Eastern,Greater Accra and Brong Ahafo. But even with these regions, the NPP again is disadvantaged. You don’t need an Harvard trained political scientist to tell you Greater Accra and Brong Ahafo will fall to the NDC. The reasons are abundantly clear for all to see, save the usual spoilt urban folks” who take delight in “shouting” change, change on Facebook when they don’t even know that a constituency like Domeabra Obom is located in Accra.

To them, Greater Accra is Cantonments, Labone, East Legon, Roman Ridge, Airport Residential. They don’t know Ada, Sege, Shai Osudoku, Amasaman and others are all part of Accra. People with this mentality continue to romance themselves with the false hopes that NPP will win Greater Accra.

A borehole may not mean anything to these spoilt urban elites, but it means a lot to my aunties, uncles, cousins and other relatives living in the Domeabra Obom constituency. Classrooms for their children to learn under conducive environment, school uniforms for their kids, sandals for their kids, educational materials for their children mean a lot to them.

Any hamlet today in Greater Accra can boast of portable drinking water and other social amenities. The last time I visited my grandfather’s village, Amoresekope, the Mahama government has extended electricity to that hamlet. Even in thatch roofed mud houses, they are enjoying electricity like their counterparts in the city. Their main road, the 33 kilometer Kasoa Obom road is for the first time since the 1970s when it was constructed seeing major facelift.

President Mahama and his NDC may not have delivered heaven on earth but these little things, as these spoilt urban elites describe them, are having direct impact on these folks and these will determine where they will direct their votes on Wednesday.

You enjoy all trappings of city life and write good English on social media and talk big on radio and TV about depreciation of the cedi and throw about all the economic jargons, but these things do not resonate with my aunty in the village. The Okada rider at Hobor, Tebu, Kofi Kwei, Avornyo and Ashalaja does not care whether the cedi is GH1 to a dollar. All he wants is good road to ride his motorbike.

So when these people talk about NPP winning Greater Accra because it is the capital, they are only engaged in needless academic exercise. Politics is not etymological autarky or cloistedness. It is purely a game of strategy, and for now the NDC appears to understand the rudiments of the game better than the NPP.

Brong Ahafo will certainly not disappoint Mahama. Nana Addo will obviously win Eastern and Ashanti but with diminished “glory”. Nana Addo’s victory in these two regions will be comparable to a football team that has secured a 2:0 home win but has lost 2:8 on aggregate.

The NPP’s only hope in Wednesday’s election is for NDC strongholds to record low turnouts or high spoilt/rejected ballots. A party that goes into any major election with this weird strategy is bound to be disappointed and NPP will certainly be disappointed.

NB: Feel free to disagree with me. The election is just two days away.

By ABA@Asabaham, Domeabra Obom

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