A special delegates-based survey conducted by Outcomes International Ghana and Center for Sustainable African Development Initiatives (C-SADI) UK has projected Vice President Dr Mahamudu Bawumia to win the special delegates elections of the governing New Patriotic Party (NPP) with 72.6percent.
Dr Bawumia is followed by Alan Kyeremanten with 7.7percent, Ken Agyapong came 3rd with 4.3percent, Kwabena Agyepong 4th with 1.8percent, and Dr. Owusu Akoto 5th with 0.6percent. The total sum of votes for the remaining 5 candidates is 1.3percent and undecided 11.7percent.
Given the turn of campaigns of the various candidates in the NPP Special Delegates election, Outcomes International Ghana and Centre for Sustainable African Development Initiatives (C-SADI) UK jointly conducted a survey to determine which 5 candidates are likely to qualify for the November 4, 2023, NPP Presidential Primaries.
The study also looked into other socio-demographic factors that are likely to influence the outcome of the August 26 election. For example, how ethnicity/geography and religion affect the chances of viable candidates, as well as the basis on which delegates assess the suitability of a candidate.
The survey was done in all 16 regions of the country using an estimated 300 NPP special delegates as the target population of the 961 voters in the electoral college. The study used multistage probability proportional to size sampling (PPS) with implicit stratification to reduce the operational cost of the survey and better represent the country.
The data was obtained mainly through computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) technology.
Regional breakdown of the sample size. 11 special voters in Upper West were interviewed, In Upper East 17, also North East 15, the Northern was 19, 17 were interviewed in Savannah, Bono East 19, Bono 14, Ahafo 11, Ashanti 36, and Eastern 29.
Greater Accra region, had 29 people interviewed, Central 19, Western 19, Western North 15, Oti 11, and Volta region 19.
Also, with the categories of respondents interviewed, the breakdown was
Constituency Chairpersons 143, Regional Executive Members 103, Members of Parliament 33, Council of Elders 9, National Council Members 8, Card Bearing Ministers 3, and Past National Officers 1.